Jan 18, 20 nate silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hairs breadth, and became a national sensation as a bloggerall by the time he was thirty. Nathaniel read nate silver born january, 1978 is an american statistician and writer who analyzes baseball and elections. Nate silver on finding a mentor, teaching yourself statistics. His book, the signal and the noise, explains the power of statistical modeling to improve our predictions about everything from the weather to sports to the stock market. Nate silver on finding a mentor, teaching yourself statistics, and. One might ask nate silver, the data whiz behind, which shot to prominence after providing eerily accurate forecasts of the 2008 election, what makes for good predictions. May 26, 2018 gates reads little fiction, as he readily admits, but will dabble in ya, comedic memoir, and graphic novels on occasion. Book recommendations for people who like the signal and the noise by nate silver. In 2008, silver s general election forecast, while perfectly sound, was only a marginal improvement on crudely averaging a bunch of opinion polls. What are some books like nate silvers the signal and the noise.
Nov 03, 2008 nate silver made his name making uncannily accurate baseball predictions. Nate silver s the signal and the noise is the soul of a new machine for the 21st century. He is the founder and editorinchief of fivethirtyeight and a special correspondent for abc news. Nate silver has data that answers big questions about race in politics. Jan 12, 2014 in terms of a laymanpopular explanation of a technical field, i find the following books similar to nate silver s the signal and the noise. Nate silver made his name as the new york times data guru, creating the methodology that predicted barack obamas reelection.
He shot to fame in 2008 for correctly predicting the outcome in 49 out of 50 states in the us presidential election. I try to keep a good rapport with both and lead by setting a positive example. Nate silver on finding a mentor, teaching yourself statistics, and not settling in. Why so many predictions fail but some dont is a 2012 book by nate silver detailing the art of using probability and statistics as applied to realworld circumstances. Nov 08, 2016 nate silver sits on the stairs with his laptop computer at a hotel in chicago on friday, nov. Why so many predictions failbut some dont by nate silver. Bill gates is a very busy man, but as his admirers know, he makes time to read. In the 2012 election, he accurately called the presidential vote in all 50 states. Hey there, i think your blog might be having browser compatibility issues. Apr 18, 20 nate silver has done an incredible and, quite possibly an unpredictable thing with the signal and the noise. It will be a supremely valuable resource for anyone who wants to make good guesses about the future, or who. Nothing is more common than for someone like silver a media phenom with a strong platform his 538 blog to create a book to cash in on his 15 minutes.
What are some books like nate silvers the signal and the. He is the host of cnns fareed zakaria gps and writes a weekly paid column for the washington post. Nate silver who founded the fivethirtyeight blog, and has been analyzing polling data better than anyone else in his field for the past several years has finally written a book, and its. Since it talks of probability it gets into stuff with markov chains and artificial intelligence.
He is a contributor to the new york times magazine and has appeared as a commentator on cnn and msnbc. His book, the signal and the noise, explains the power of statistical. Why most predictions fail but some dont is a 2012 book by nate silver detailing the art of using probability and statistics as. Nate silver is the 35yearold data engineer and forecaster with superstar status. The signal and the noise nate silver business insider. Nate silver has done an incredible and, quite possibly an unpredictable thing with the signal and the noise. The novels feature a young wizard known as nate temple, who is on a quest to protect his hometown of st louis from a variety of paranormal nasties, which populate many novels that we have come to love from our childhood. The book presents yet another hair raising and blood freezing adventure by nate along with his friends. In his book the signal and the noise, nate silver presents this example application of bayess theorem on pp.
One might ask nate silver, the data whiz behind, which. Discover similar books recommended by the worlds most successful people in 2020. An executive summary of nate silvers the signal and the. Reading recommendations white leblanc wealth planners. Start a new chapter with these summer reading suggestions. Nate temple is witty, smart, creative and violent at the same time. Im not sure ive ever read a book written by a politician. Sep 24, 20 perhaps no one has done more for the cause of datadriven decisionmaking in the minds of the public than nate silver. Through the backdrop of a professional nba gambler, silver takes the reader through a well written explanation of how bayesian theory is.
Get informed about global issues, exposed to unique stories, and engaged with diverse and original perspectives. Nate silver author of the signal and the noise goodreads. A nate silver book recommendation engine its ncaa tournament time here in the u. Thousands of books are released every year, but not every story has that magic formula that can change how people view a topic insider employees recommended their favorite books from the 2010s at the end of 2019. May 11, 2017 natesilver nate silver, editor in chief. Gates reads little fiction, as he readily admits, but will dabble in ya, comedic memoir, and graphic novels on occasion. Behind nate silvers war with the new york times politico. Silvers influences are very clear so i will give some books that he clearly is influenced by and that are all very good books. Perhaps no one has done more for the cause of datadriven decisionmaking in the minds of the public than nate silver. Mar 23, 2017 every book recommendation bill gates has ever published. Feb 20, 2020 trying to discern the truth by examining data isnt as easy as we may think. This brief overview of the signal and the noise tells you what you need to knowbefore or after you read nate silver s book.
Oct, 2012 nate silver, the author of the popular political forecasting blog fivethirtyeight, now part of the new york times stable, is out with his first book, the signal and the noise. To write the signal and the noise nate silver spent a lot of time with people who forecast for a living, and are especially good at it, to determine why theyre so successful at pulling accurate predictions out of massive amounts of information. Every book recommendation bill gates has ever published time. Nothing is more common than for someone like silvera media phenom with a strong platform his 538 blog to create a book to cash in on his 15 minutes. The signal and the noise by nate silver is a book on probability and how it is used to make more accurate predictions. Nate silver built an innovative system for predicting. In 2008, silvers general election forecast, while perfectly sound, was only a marginal improvement on crudely averaging a bunch of opinion polls. Customers also bought items by nassim nicholas taleb. No matter who wins the presidential election, nate silver was.
In 49 of 50 states, silver correctly chose the presidential vote winner. In this important book, nate silver explains why the performance of experts. From hurricanes to playing poker there are a number of things that can be explained with that branch of mathematics. Why so many predictions fail but some dont is a 2012 book by nate silver detailing the art of using probability and statistics as. Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and selfknowledge. Nate silver on finding a mentor, teaching yourself.
It will be a supremely valuable resource for anyone who wants to make good. Nate silver made his name making uncannily accurate baseball predictions. The signal and the noise 2 nate silver nick chesterley. Nate silver is a statistician and political forecaster at the new york times who became a national sensation in the united states when his predictions during the 2008 presidential election trumped most mainstream polls.
The art and science of prediction by nate silver 20101 paperback bunko next page. Nate silver s fivethirtyeight uses statistical analysis hard numbers to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, sports, science, economics and lifestyle. Silver is the statistics whiz behind five thirtyeight, the political forecasting blog he started in. The signal and the noise by nate silver penguin random. Employees shared the books that made the most impact on them, from pulitzer prizewinning novels like all the light we cannot see to blockbusters like fifty shades of grey. An executive summary of nate silver s the signal and the noise book. He writes about characters who express utter disregard for selfpreservation and consequences, that will leave any thriller reader cringing on the edge of their seat and bursting out in laughter. Nate is a tough guy that has been known to steal deaths horse, cow tip the minotaur, and sucker punch an angel. He is the founder and editorinchief of fivethirtyeight and a special.
Interested in the signal and the noise by nate silver. Will an antitrump message be enough for democrats in 2018. Not because of the material as much as because of how well nate silver communicates complicated mathematical information in a way that a layman can easily understand it. Book recommendations for people who like thinking, fast and slow by daniel kahneman. Why so many predictions failbut some dont based on the book by nate silver ebook. Why so many predictions failbut some dont is the worth the price of the book, as it breaks down bayes theorem and bayesian thinking into a laymans terms. A list of fareeds gps book recommendations bookadvice. His ambitious new book, the signal and the noise, is a practical handbook and a philosophical manifesto in one, following the theme of prediction through a series of case studies ranging from hurricane tracking to professional poker to counterterrorism. Rachel maddow, author of drift nate silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hairs breadth, and became a national sensation as a bloggerall by the time he was thirty. Perhaps best known for his highly accurate election predictions, statistician nate silver is the creator of the blog now part of the new york times website and the author of. Why most predictions fail but some dont alternatively stylized as the signal and the noise. In terms of a laymanpopular explanation of a technical field, i find the following books similar to nate silver s the signal and the noise. For the american football player, see nate silver quarterback.
Silver emphasizes that predictions are ultimately a human endeavor and that computers are programmed by humans. Books similar to the signal and the noise by nate silver. Nate silver quotes author of the signal and the noise. He has written an extremely good book when he didnt even have to. And now he has a bestseller, the signal and the noise, in which he discusses the challenges and science of prediction in a wide range of domains, covering politics, sports, earthquakes, epidemics, economics. Bakshi is the sites editor, features writer and producer. The new york times now publishes, where silver is one of the nations most influential political forecasters. Nathaniel read silver born january, 1978 is an american statistician and writer who analyzes baseball see sabermetrics and elections see psephology. It was named by the wall street journal as one of the ten best books of nonfiction. Nate silver is the founder and editor in chief of fivethirtyeight and the author of the signal and the noise.
Now his pollcrunching website is providing possibly the best forecast available of who will be the next us president. Though silver s book is well written, the content itself was not very fascinating or inaccessible to som. Sep 27, 2012 one of the more momentous books of the decade. Why so many predictions fail but some dont, silver explains the. Fast paced, actionpacked and the devilishly eclectic characters make this book to be tremendously great read. If you liked the signal and the noise by nate silver, here are some books like this. Editoratlarge, time magazine, columnist, the washington post fareed rafiq zakaria is an american journalist, political scientist, and author. Follow the author to get new release updates and improved recommendations. Crafted and edited with care, worth books set the standard for quality and give you the tools you.
As the cochair of the bill and melinda gates foundation, he is wont to. Most of us would have assigned almost no probability to terrorists crashing planes into buildings in. Stats and myths collide in this fascinating talk that ends with a remarkable insight. Get book recommendations, fiction, poetry, and dispatches from the world of literature in your inbox. Nate silver on the art and science of prediction youtube.
1453 946 421 188 433 120 532 27 859 1028 1583 1101 515 1050 895 815 967 1108 406 872 61 1066 801 560 939 550 857 1228 906 1195 817 1104 413 115 771 1407